Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Sep 30, 2024 at 12am UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
Progreso0 - 3Nacional
Alles (18'), Asconeguy (33'), Gonzalez (60'), Lemmo (78'), Castillo (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 1-0 Progreso
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
33
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Nacional |
22.03% ( 0.17) | 23.67% ( 0.05) | 54.3% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 52.56% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
