MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:37:22| >> :600:14790634:14790634:
PSG logo
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 7, 2024 at 8.10pm UK
Parc des Princes
Brest logo

PSG
3 - 1
Brest

Mbappe (34'), Pereira (37'), Ramos (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mounie (65')
Magnetti (14'), Brassier (60')
Brassier (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 0-0 Nice
Sunday, February 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Brest

Brest's performance against PSG in the league last month will give them tremendous confidence coming into this match, but it is difficult to back against the Parisians, especially on their home patch. We are expecting another solid performance by the visitors but fancy the 14-time winners of this competition to progress to the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Brest had a probability of 16.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
63.48% (0.402 0.4) 20.15% (0.111 0.11) 16.37% (-0.509 -0.51)
Both teams to score 54.23% (-1.532 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.03% (-1.469 -1.47)40.97% (1.473 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.63% (-1.514 -1.51)63.37% (1.518 1.52)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.73% (-0.331 -0.33)12.27% (0.333 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.98% (-0.7 -0.7)38.02% (0.703 0.7)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82% (-1.507 -1.51)38.18% (1.511 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (-1.483 -1.48)74.95% (1.486 1.49)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 63.48%
    Brest 16.37%
    Draw 20.15%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
2-0 @ 10.31% (0.421 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.524 0.52)
3-0 @ 7.21% (0.205 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.94% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.78% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.64% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 63.48%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.308 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.15%
1-2 @ 4.56% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.17% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 16.37%

How you voted: PSG vs Brest

Paris Saint-Germain
88.5%
Draw
5.8%
Brest
5.8%
104
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
PSG
2-2
Brest
Asensio (38'), Kolo (45')
Hernandez (26'), Mbappe (53'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Barcola (90+2')
Barcola (90+4')
Camara (55'), Pereira Lage (80')
Lees-Melou (32'), Lala (53'), Brassier (59')
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
2-3
PSG
Mounie (43'), Le Douaron (52')
Roy (0'), Brassier (86'), Martin (87'), Bizot (88')
Zaire-Emery (16'), Mbappe (28', 89')
Hakimi (87'), Ruiz (88'), Mbappe (89'), Kolo (90+4')
Mar 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Brest
1-2
PSG
Honorat (43')
Soler (37'), Mbappe (90')
Sep 10, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 7
PSG
1-0
Brest
Neymar (30')
Jan 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 21
PSG
2-0
Brest
Mbappe (32'), Kehrer (53')
Herrera (24'), Mbappe (34'), Kimpembe (55'), Verratti (58'), Pereira (65')

Magnetti (34'), Agoume (45+1'), Chardonnet (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!