The Match
Match Report
PSV Eindhoven fight back to draw 1-1 with Borussia Dortmund in their Champions League last-16 first leg thanks to a controversial Luuk de Jong penalty.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Heracles
Friday, February 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, February 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 Dortmund
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.69%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
55.69% ( -1.28) | 19.98% ( 0.45) | 24.32% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 68.78% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
