Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Dortmund3 - 1VfL Bochum
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FC Koln 0-4 Dortmund
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 VfL Bochum
Dortmund have played like a rejuvenated side since returning from the winter break, having scored seven goals without reply against their struggling opponents. The addition of fresh faces Maatsen and Sancho appear to have provided BVB with some much needed impetus. Bochum do not tend to travel particularly well, having been thrashed by Stuttgart, Bayern Munich, and Bayer Leverkusen already this season. We are struggling to see beyond a comfortable victory for the hosts, who will move back into the top four if they claim all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 11.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
72.84% ( 0.61) | 15.43% ( -0.04) | 11.73% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 59.12% ( -1.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
