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Europa League
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Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Ibrox Stadium
Benfica

Rangers
0 - 1
Benfica


Goldson (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silva (66')
Tengstedt (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Rangers and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rangers

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Hibernian 0-2 Rangers
Sunday, March 10 at 5.30pm in Scottish Cup

Benfica

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Estoril
Sunday, March 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rangers 3-2 Benfica (Rangers to win 5-4 on aggregate)

 Each of the last three meetings between Rangers and Benfica - all in the Europa League - have ended as a draw, with both sides scoring at least two goals. Another entertaining end-to-end affair could be in store, but something has to give on Thursday. While Rangers are without a number of first-team players through injury, a refreshed set of options in key areas across the pitch will strengthen Benfica following their domestic win last weekend. However, the Ibrox factor on a big European night could play a significant role for the Gers, with the home crowd roaring them on to another memorable home triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
RangersDrawBenfica
49.46% (-0.219 -0.22) 22.64% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 27.89% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 62.41% (0.19 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.05% (0.172 0.17)37.94% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.8% (0.185 0.19)60.2% (-0.186 -0.19)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.37% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)15.63% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.36% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)44.64% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (0.23699999999999 0.24)26.02% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (0.32 0.32)61.05% (-0.322 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Rangers 49.46%
    Benfica 27.9%
    Draw 22.64%
RangersDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.93% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 49.46%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.9%

How you voted: Rangers vs Benfica

Rangers
55.9%
Draw
19.4%
Benfica
24.6%
211
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Benfica
2-2
Rangers
Di Maria (45+2' pen.), Goldson (67' og.)
di Maria (34'), Bah (72')
Lawrence (7'), Sterling (45+5')
Sterling (27'), Butland (45+2'), Yilmaz (67')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2020 8pm
Group Stage
Rangers
2-2
Benfica
Arfield (7'), Roofe (69')
Kamara (79')
Tavernier (78' og.), Pizzi (81')
Gabriel (16'), Chiquinho (42'), Vertonghen (83')
> Match Report
Nov 5, 2020 5.55pm
Group Stage
Benfica
3-3
Rangers
Goldson (2' og.), Silva (77'), Nunez (90+1')
Otamendi (19')
Goncalves (24' og.), Kamara (25'), Morelos (51')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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