Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rennes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rennes.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
46.9% ( 0.83) | 24.35% ( -0.23) | 28.74% ( -0.6) |
Both teams to score 57.05% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.7% ( 0.68) | 45.3% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.36% ( 0.65) | 67.64% ( -0.64) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.57% ( 0.62) | 19.42% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.74% ( 1.01) | 51.25% ( -1) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.81% ( -0.07) | 29.19% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.86% ( -0.09) | 65.14% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.1% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.4% Total : 28.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |