Despite struggling to maintain their initial hot streak under Der Zakarian, Montpellier have consistently posed a threat in the final third - not that it may count for much against a reinvigorated Rennes crop, though.
Genesio's side limited Reims to a mere five shots last weekend and found the formula for defensive success on the road before being downed by Lyon, so we can envisage Genesio's side remaining on the coat-tails of the top five with a straightforward success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
-0.39) 
0.66) 
