Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Rennes |
31.36% ( -0.39) | 24.23% ( -0.26) | 44.41% ( 0.66) |
Both teams to score 59.04% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.63% ( 1.04) | 43.37% ( -1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.23% ( 1.02) | 65.77% ( -1.01) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.52% ( 0.26) | 26.48% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.33% ( 0.34) | 61.67% ( -0.34) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.3% ( 0.72) | 19.7% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.3% ( 1.15) | 51.71% ( -1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Rennes |
2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.36% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |