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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

RKC Waalwijk
0 - 3
AZ


Niemeijer (21'), Weidmann (26'), van den Buijs (44'), Kramer (46'), Lokesa (90+2')
Kramer (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
van Bommel (31', 36'), Meerdink (87')
Goes (46'), van Bommel (78'), Belic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Groningen 0-0 AZ
Sunday, August 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 0-2 AZ Alkmaar

While the visitors have struggled in front of goal, the hosts have conceded the second most goals so far this season, suggesting a comfortable victory for AZ Alkmaar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawAZ Alkmaar
20.3% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 23.85% (-0.02 -0.02) 55.84% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.57% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18% (0.024000000000001 0.02)50.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29% (0.019000000000002 0.02)72.71% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)39.51% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.8% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)76.2% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (0.031999999999996 0.03)18.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.05% (0.055999999999997 0.06)48.94% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 20.3%
    AZ Alkmaar 55.83%
    Draw 23.85%
RKC WaalwijkDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 6.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.26% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 20.3%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 12.2%
0-2 @ 10.45% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 5.97% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57%
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.37% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 55.83%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs AZ

RKC Waalwijk
9.1%
Draw
7.6%
AZ Alkmaar
83.3%
66
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 30
AZ
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Sugawara (66'), Sadiq (75'), Pavlidis (77')
Goes (83')
Min (3', 42')
Min (67'), Lokesa (74'), Vaessen (77')
Aug 20, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 2
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
AZ
Kramer (41' pen.)
Kramer (58'), Margaret (76')
Pavlidis (54', 79'), De Wit (59')
Poku (63')
Apr 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 30
AZ
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Mijnans (8'), Lahdo (50'), Van Brederode (63')
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
RKC Waalwijk
3-1
AZ
Bel Hassani (32'), Bakkali (87', 90+1')
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
AZ
1-3
RKC Waalwijk
De Wit (45+1')
Stokkers (18'), Gaari (64'), Kuijpers (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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