Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma1 - 1Juventus
We said: Roma 1-1 Juventus
While Juventus have lost all momentum are stuttering towards the end of another troubled season, distracted Roma may have one eye on turning their Europa League semi-final tie around. The hosts also have a woeful record against Italy's other top clubs, so Juve can record a fourth straight Serie A draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Juventus |
32.27% ( -0.05) | 26.77% ( 0.03) | 40.96% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.98% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46% ( -0.12) | 53.99% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.56% ( -0.1) | 75.43% ( 0.1) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.84% ( -0.1) | 31.16% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.5% ( -0.11) | 67.49% ( 0.11) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.05% ( -0.04) | 25.95% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.04% ( -0.05) | 60.95% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Roma 32.27%
Juventus 40.95%
Draw 26.76%
| Roma | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.27% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.95% |
How you voted: Roma vs Juventus
Roma
38.0%Draw
28.5%Juventus
33.6%137
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 5, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Roma
3-4
Juventus
Dybala (18'), Locatelli (70'), Kulusevski (72'), De Sciglio (77')
Cuadrado (45+3'), de Ligt (52'), Locatelli (65')
de Ligt (81')
Cuadrado (45+3'), de Ligt (52'), Locatelli (65')
de Ligt (81')
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Juventus
1-0
Roma
