CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 21, 2024 at 1am UK
CityPark
St Louis City2 - 1Houston
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between St Louis City and Houston Dynamo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 St Louis City
Sunday, November 5 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, November 5 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Houston
Sunday, December 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, December 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
37.76% ( 0.01) | 26.14% ( 0) | 36.09% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.74% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.2% ( -0.01) | 50.8% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.31% ( -0) | 72.69% ( 0.01) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.79% ( 0) | 26.21% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.69% ( 0.01) | 61.31% ( -0) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.83% ( -0.01) | 27.17% ( 0.01) |