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Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Morecambe

Salford City
3 - 1
Morecambe

McLennan (13'), Hendry (50'), Tilt (79')
Robinson (35'), McLennan (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vassell (61' og.)
Garner (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Salford City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 5-3 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 0-3 Morecambe

Salford City might have the home advantage this weekend, but that does not make them the favorites and their poor run of form could continue here. The defensive issues that the Ammies have dealt with throughout the season is likely to be their downfall in this one, which Morecambe will attempt to exploit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawMorecambe
45.2% (1.437 1.44) 22.9% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 31.9% (-1.372 -1.37)
Both teams to score 64.15% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.22% (-0.227 -0.23)36.77% (0.22600000000001 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.06% (-0.246 -0.25)58.94% (0.245 0.25)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25% (0.47 0.47)16.74% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.33% (0.834 0.83)46.67% (-0.835 -0.84)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.875 -0.88)22.95% (0.873 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.27% (-1.305 -1.31)56.73% (1.304 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 45.2%
    Morecambe 31.9%
    Draw 22.89%
Salford CityDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.146 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.87% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.254 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.169 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.206 0.21)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.112 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 45.2%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-1 @ 5.66% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 31.9%

How you voted: Salford City vs Morecambe

Salford City
12.5%
Draw
50.0%
Morecambe
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Morecambe
1-0
Salford City
Mellon (25')

Lund (90+5')
Feb 23, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Morecambe
2-1
Salford City
Mendes Gomes (90+4'), Wildig (90+6')
Songo'o (49'), Lavelle (90')
Thomas-Asante (45+1')
Threlkeld (90+2'), Turnbull (90+5'), Hladky (90+9')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 14
Salford City
2-1
Morecambe
Hunter (41', 44')
Denny (6'), Smith (10'), Henderson (28'), Andrade (36'), Elliott (86')
Stockton (54')
Lavelle (40'), Songo'o (61'), Cooney (90+3')
Sep 29, 2020 7.45pm
Group Stage
Salford City
2-0
Morecambe
Wilson (44'), Hunter (90+2')
Thomas-Asante (75'), Touray (79')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe168532014629
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Bromley163851921-217
20Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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