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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 17
Aug 4, 2024 at 4pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
2 - 1
Sandefjord

Johansen (13' pen.), Emanuel Halvorsen (68')
Meister (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mettler (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Sandefjord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lillestrom 2-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 4-3 Haugesund
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Sarpsborg 08 2-1 Sandefjord

Sarpsborg and Sandefjord have enjoyed a solid run of results in recent weeks and we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Sarpsborg Stadion. However, Michelsen's men boast an outstanding home record in this fixture and we fancy them to come out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sarpsborg 08 in this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawSandefjord
51.46% (0.237 0.24) 21.8% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 26.74% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 64.48% (0.126 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21% (0.233 0.23)34.78% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.25% (0.259 0.26)56.75% (-0.262 -0.26)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.17% (0.155 0.16)13.82% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.82% (0.311 0.31)41.18% (-0.314 -0.31)
Sandefjord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)25.17% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (0.013999999999996 0.01)59.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 51.46%
    Sandefjord 26.74%
    Draw 21.8%
Sarpsborg 08DrawSandefjord
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 6.88% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.28% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.035 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.021 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 51.46%
1-1 @ 9.5% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.8%
1-2 @ 6.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.8% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.74%

How you voted: Sarpsborg vs Sandefjord

Sarpsborg 08
64.7%
Draw
17.6%
Sandefjord
17.6%
17
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 7
Sandefjord
4-1
Sarpsborg
Ruud Tveter (2' pen., 60'), Al-Saed (73'), Markovic (75')
Dunsby (16'), Ottosson (30')
Johansen (51' pen.)
Franklin (27'), Wichne (45+4'), Meister (66')
Aug 6, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 17
Sandefjord
5-1
Sarpsborg
Nilsson (31', 80'), Nyenetue (45+2'), Al-Saed (74'), Kristiansen (90' og.)
Erik Odegaard (0')
Torp (1')
Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (24')
Jul 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 12
Sarpsborg
6-1
Sandefjord
Fardal Opseth (10', 20'), Torp (11'), Soltvedt (51'), Lundqvist (66'), Wichne (79')
Taaje (45')
Smeulers (32')
Oct 2, 2022 4pm
Jul 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 12
Sarpsborg
4-3
Sandefjord
Maigaard (8', 19'), Saletros (54' pen.), Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (70')
Vidtun Nilsen (39')
Ruud Tveter (22'), Vega (44'), Ofkir (73')
Ayer (77'), Smeulers (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Broncos
27-34
Chargers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt30188471314062
2SK BrannBrann30178555332259
3Viking FKViking FK30169561392257
4RosenborgRosenborg30165952391353
5MoldeMolde30157864362852
6Fredrikstad3014973935451
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset30108123240-838
8KFUM OsloKFUM30910113536-137
9Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg30107134355-1237
10SandefjordSandefjord3097144146-534
11KristiansundKristiansund30810123245-1334
12HamKam3089133439-533
13Tromso ILTromso3096153444-1033
14FK HaugesundHaugesund3096152946-1733
15Lillestrom3073203363-3024
16Odd3058172654-2823


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