J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 6, 2024 at 8am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)
Shonan Bellmare2 - 1Sagan Tosu
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 3-1 Shonan Bellmare
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Tokyo Verdy
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.
Result | ||
Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
40.4% ( -0) | 25.51% | 34.09% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 55.58% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.7% ( -0.01) | 48.3% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.55% ( -0) | 70.45% ( 0) |
Shonan Bellmare Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.33% ( -0) | 23.67% ( 0) |