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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Hull City |
63.29% ( -2.15) | 19.31% ( 0.69) | 17.39% ( 1.45) |
Both teams to score 59.58% ( 0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.93% ( -0.52) | 35.06% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.93% ( -0.59) | 57.06% ( 0.58) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.42% ( -0.68) | 10.58% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.66% ( -1.54) | 34.33% ( 1.54) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.63% ( 1.35) | 33.37% ( -1.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30% ( 1.45) | 69.99% ( -1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Hull City |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.42) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.35) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.21) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.02% Total : 63.29% | 1-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.32% | 1-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.33) 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.91% Total : 17.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Burnley | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 33 |
3 | Sunderland | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
5 | Watford | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 29 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 27 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 22 |
10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
11 | Bristol City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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