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Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Hull logo

Southampton
1 - 2
Hull City

Aribo (88')
Walker-Peters (23')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zaroury (11'), Carvalho (36')
Jones (78'), Jacob (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Southampton 3-1 Hull City

Southampton were controlled in their success over West Brom last time out, and we are expecting more of the same from the Saints at St Mary's in this one. Hull made hard work of trips to Rotherham and Huddersfield in the past week, and we cannot envisage the Tigers recording three-straight away maximums. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawHull City
63.29% (-2.148 -2.15) 19.31% (0.69 0.69) 17.39% (1.454 1.45)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.76 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.93% (-0.52199999999999 -0.52)35.06% (0.519 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.93% (-0.585 -0.59)57.06% (0.581 0.58)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.42% (-0.678 -0.68)10.58% (0.676 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.66% (-1.544 -1.54)34.33% (1.54 1.54)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (1.345 1.35)33.37% (-1.348 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (1.45 1.45)69.99% (-1.454 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 63.29%
    Hull City 17.39%
    Draw 19.32%
SouthamptonDrawHull City
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.91% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 6.67% (-0.416 -0.42)
4-1 @ 4.11% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.75% (-0.35 -0.35)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.157 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.212 -0.21)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 63.29%
1-1 @ 8.7% (0.293 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.092 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.32%
1-2 @ 4.78% (0.327 0.33)
0-1 @ 3.87% (0.237 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.13% (0.202 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 17.39%

How you voted: Southampton vs Hull City

Southampton
77.3%
Draw
10.0%
Hull City
12.7%
110
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Hull City
1-2
Southampton
Delap (25')
Philogene-Bidace (45+1'), Christie (46'), Morton (52'), Sayyadmanesh (90+5')
Smallbone (20'), Fraser (90+5')
Manning (39'), Alcaraz (48'), Fraser (90+3')
Nov 6, 2016 2.15pm
Hull City
2-1
Southampton
Snodgrass (61'), Dawson (63')
Austin (6' pen.)
Tadic (29'), Clasie (57'), Bertrand (72'), Yoshida (83'), Romeu (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1711422491535
2Burnley179622161533
3Sunderland1796226121433
4Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
5Watford179262624229
6Middlesbrough1683529191027
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom176921811727
8Millwall166641914524
9Norwich CityNorwich175753125622
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
11Bristol City175752021-122
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds176472026-622
13Stoke CityStoke175661920-121
14Derby CountyDerby165562020020
15Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry174582225-317
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd174581927-817
19Preston North EndPreston173861624-817
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth174581834-1617
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City173681623-715
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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