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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 12.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Preston North End |
69.11% ( -0.01) | 18.45% ( 0) | 12.44% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 49.58% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.15% ( -0.01) | 41.85% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.75% ( -0.01) | 64.25% ( 0) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.99% ( -0.01) | 11.01% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.7% ( -0.01) | 35.3% ( 0.01) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.71% ( -0) | 44.28% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.64% ( -0) | 80.35% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Preston North End |
2-0 @ 11.86% 1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.9% 5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 69.09% | 1-1 @ 8.76% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.88% Total : 18.45% | 0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.57% 0-2 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.07% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.25% Total : 12.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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