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Championship | Gameweek 36
Apr 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Preston North End logo

Southampton
3 - 0
Preston

Adams (19', 29'), Armstrong (33')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Mawene (1'), Lowe (2'), Holmes (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 3-2 Watford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 2-1 Preston North End

Considering that an average of 3.9 goals have been scored across the last seven competitive meetings between these two teams, another entertaining end-to-end contest could be on the cards on Wednesday. Both sides will fancy their chances of claiming three precious points, but we believe that Southampton, motivated by recent slip-ups from Leicester and Leeds, will find a way to come out on top on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawPreston North End
69.11% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 18.45% (0.0010000000000012 0) 12.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.58% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)41.85% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)64.25% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)11.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.7% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)35.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)44.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.64% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)80.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 69.09%
    Preston North End 12.44%
    Draw 18.45%
SouthamptonDrawPreston North End
2-0 @ 11.86%
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.73% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.9%
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 69.09%
1-1 @ 8.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 18.45%
0-1 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-2 @ 3.57%
0-2 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.07%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 12.44%

How you voted: Southampton vs Preston

Southampton
82.6%
Draw
6.6%
Preston North End
10.8%
213
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Preston
2-2
Southampton
Osmajic (52'), Potts (55')
Whiteman (42'), Millar (80'), Cunningham (90+1')
Walker-Peters (33'), Evans (90+6' og.)
Smallbone (22'), Bazunu (45+1'), Bednarek (90+8')
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-3
Southampton
Bodin (19')
Ings (11', 44'), Vokins (82')
Feb 21, 2009 3pm
Southampton
3-1
Preston
Surman (19'), Saganowski (29', 42')
Euell (74')
Wallace (73')
Nov 1, 2008 3pm
Preston
2-3
Southampton
Jones (36'), Elliott (42')
Pearce (64'), Surman (69'), McGoldrick (90')
McGoldrick (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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