Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.