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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas

Sportivo Trinidense
1 - 2
Boca Juniors

Andrada (45')
Andrada (45+1'), Quinonez (73'), Roman (89'), de la Cruz (90'), Jara (90+5')
Arrua (33'), Andrada (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Figal (70'), Cavani (90+2')
Advincula (31'), Romero (32')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Trinidense and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sportivo Trinidense

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Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 Nacional
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Boca Juniors (3-1 pen.)
Wednesday, May 1 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.97%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Sportivo TrinidenseDrawBoca Juniors
15.58% (-0.355 -0.36) 24.14% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 60.28% (0.439 0.44)
Both teams to score 40.74% (-0.472 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81% (-0.232 -0.23)58.19% (0.233 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.183 -0.18)78.84% (0.185 0.19)
Sportivo Trinidense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.39% (-0.632 -0.63)49.61% (0.63200000000001 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.62% (-0.445 -0.45)84.38% (0.447 0.45)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.84% (0.077999999999989 0.08)19.16% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.18% (0.127 0.13)50.81% (-0.127 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Sportivo Trinidense 15.58%
    Boca Juniors 60.27%
    Draw 24.13%
Sportivo TrinidenseDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-1 @ 3.86% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.34% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 0.9% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 15.58%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 15.7% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 12.97% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 7.15% (0.115 0.11)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.95% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 60.27%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Boca Juniors
1-0
Sportivo Trinidense
Anselmino (71')

Riveros (27'), de la Cruz (63'), Benitez (73'), Gimenez (86'), Roman (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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