Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sportivo Trinidense win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sportivo Trinidense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Nacional Potosi win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sportivo Trinidense would win this match.