Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.7%) and 0-1 (5.28%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United in this match.