MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 01:20:03| >> :600:4198080:4198080:
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Fortuna Dusseldorf logo

St Pauli
2 - 2
Dusseldorf

Hartel (60' pen.), Boukhalfa (120+1')
Burchert (37'), Hurzeler (52'), Mets (97'), Saad (117'), Saliakas (117')
Hurzeler (0')
FT
(aet)
Vermeij (38' pen.), Tanaka (99')
Hoffmann (55')
Dusseldorf win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between St Pauli and Fortuna Dusseldorf, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Dusseldorf 1-2 St Pauli
Saturday, January 27 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Fortuna Dusseldorf

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Dusseldorf 1-2 St Pauli
Saturday, January 27 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We say: St Pauli 2-1 Fortuna Dusseldorf

 Having beaten Dusseldorf in the league away from home on Saturday, St Pauli will sense an amazing opportunity to reach only their second ever DFB-Pokal semi-final. However, the two-time champions are unlikely to make things easy for them. We expect St Pauli to continue their impressive season so far by narrowly dispatching Dusseldorf once again, though, with the prospect of facing another team from outside of the Bundesliga in the final four a distinct possibility. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%).

Result
St PauliDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
48.68% (0.172 0.17) 23.33% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 27.99% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 60.04% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.89% (0.087000000000003 0.09)41.11% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.5% (0.088000000000001 0.09)63.5% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91% (0.099999999999994 0.1)17.1% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (0.17400000000001 0.17)47.29% (-0.17 -0.17)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)27.58% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.89% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)63.11% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 48.68%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 27.99%
    Draw 23.32%
St PauliDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.99%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Dusseldorf

St Pauli
80.0%
Draw
17.1%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
2.9%
35
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Dusseldorf
1-2
St Pauli
Tzolis (83')
Tzolis (30'), de Wijs (65')
Hartel (16' pen., 26')
Vasilj (32'), Kemlein (51')
Aug 5, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
St Pauli
0-0
Dusseldorf
Metcalfe (52'), Hurzeler (53'), Sinani (90+5')
Mets (83')
Gavory (88')
May 13, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
St Pauli
0-0
Dusseldorf
Mets (39')
Hoffmann (53'), Ginczek (60'), Zimmermann (76'), Klarer (81')
Nov 5, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 15
Dusseldorf
1-0
St Pauli
Hennings (22')
May 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
St Pauli
2-0
Dusseldorf
Hartel (65'), Dzwigala (83')
Buchtmann (20'), Irvine (85')

Piotrowski (50'), Koutris (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!