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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 70.54%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.76%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Hoffenheim |
70.54% ( -0.82) | 16.04% ( 0.38) | 13.42% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 62.34% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.75% ( -0.8) | 27.24% ( 0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.2% ( -1.01) | 47.79% ( 1.01) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.07% ( -0.34) | 6.92% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.59% ( -0.92) | 25.41% ( 0.92) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.97% ( 0.03) | 33.02% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.39% ( 0.04) | 69.61% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.12) 5-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.76% Total : 70.54% | 1-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 16.04% | 1-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.5% Total : 13.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |