Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Francisco Cabases
Talleres0 - 1River Plate
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-1 Talleres
Friday, August 9 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, August 9 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Huracan
Sunday, August 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, August 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
42
We said: Talleres 1-0 River Plate
With River shorn of their two Libertadores leading scorers, we are backing Talleres to eke out a marginal victory in Wednesday's all-Argentine last-16 first-leg match in Cordoba, thus notching their fifth victory in the last seven meetings between both sides. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Talleres win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.
Result | ||
Talleres | Draw | River Plate |
28.01% ( -0.11) | 26.37% ( -0) | 45.61% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 50.13% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.89% ( -0.03) | 54.11% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.47% ( -0.03) | 75.53% ( 0.03) |
Talleres Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.67% ( -0.1) | 34.33% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.97% ( -0.1) | 71.03% ( 0.1) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.34% ( 0.04) | 23.66% ( -0.04) |