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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Milan logo

Torino
3 - 1
AC Milan

Zapata (26'), Ilic (40'), Rodriguez (46')
Ricci (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bennacer (55' pen.)
Tomori (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-2 Torino
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 AC Milan

Only runaway champions Inter have scored more away goals than Milan's 20 this calendar year, but Torino are capable of frustrating them: a low-scoring draw is the likeliest outcome, as Toro do not lay out the red carpet for their visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.03%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawAC Milan
35.92% (-0.164 -0.16) 28.06% (-0.118 -0.12) 36.03% (0.283 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.63% (0.357 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.54% (0.44 0.44)58.47% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.95% (0.342 0.34)79.05% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (0.11800000000001 0.12)31.03% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (0.136 0.14)67.34% (-0.134 -0.13)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.401 0.4)30.96% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.468 0.47)67.25% (-0.467 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.92%
    AC Milan 36.03%
    Draw 28.06%
TorinoDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.92%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.6% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.03%

How you voted: Torino vs AC Milan

Torino
16.9%
Draw
27.7%
AC Milan
55.4%
166
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
AC Milan
4-1
Torino
Pulisic (33'), Giroud (43' pen., 65' pen.), Hernandez (45+2')
Hernandez (39'), Thiaw (70')
Schuurs (36')
Ilic (11'), Juric (50+50'), Milinkovic-Savic (56'), Linetty (89')
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
AC Milan
1-0
Torino
Giroud (62')
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
0-1
Torino
Adopo (114')
Oct 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Torino
2-1
AC Milan
Djidji (35'), Miranchuk (37')
Messias (67')
Apr 10, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Torino
0-0
AC Milan
Lukic (14'), Pobega (31'), Juric (61')
Tomori (18'), Kalulu (36'), Pioli (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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