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Africa Cup of Nations
Tunisia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Olympique de Rades
Gambia national football team

Tunisia
0 - 1
Gambia


Meriah (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ceesay (17')
Ceesay (62'), Bari (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Tunisia and Gambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 2-3 Tunisia
Thursday, November 14 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Gambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 1-2 Comoros
Friday, November 15 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Tunisia 2-1 Gambia

 While this clash is inconsequential to who gets the AFCON ticket in Group A, we believe that Tunisia will want to finish the qualifiers strongly, and this, alongside Gambia's poor run on the road, is why we are predicting a win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
TunisiaDrawGambia
48.23% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 28.59% (0.232 0.23) 23.18% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 40.5% (-0.724 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.49% (-0.818 -0.82)64.51% (0.818 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.46% (-0.582 -0.58)83.54% (0.58 0.58)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.404 -0.4)27.08% (0.402 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (-0.531 -0.53)62.46% (0.53 0.53)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.54% (-0.681 -0.68)44.46% (0.68 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.5% (-0.558 -0.56)80.5% (0.55800000000001 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Tunisia 48.22%
    Gambia 23.18%
    Draw 28.59%
TunisiaDrawGambia
1-0 @ 15.72% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 48.22%
1-1 @ 12.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.04% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 28.59%
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.18%

How you voted: Tunisia vs Gambia

Tunisia
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Gambia
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Gambia
1-2
Tunisia
Sowe (14')
Adams (90+6')
Abdi (11'), Ali Ben Romdhane (76')
Sassi (59'), Jouini (90+7')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Gambia
1-0
Tunisia
Jallow (90+3')
Adams (48'), Gomez (89')

Mathlouthi (45+2'), Mejbri (90+2'), Drager (90+2')
Ben Mustapha (45+3')
> Preview
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