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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Villarreal logo

Valencia
1 - 1
Villarreal

Duro (24')
Duro (39'), Pepelu (51'), Guillamon (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Perez (45+3')
Pino (42'), Gueye (50'), Femenia (77'), Albiol (83')
Gueye (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Valencia
Wednesday, August 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 4-3 Celta Vigo
Monday, August 26 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-2 Villarreal

Valencia desperately need to stop their losing run, but Villarreal are a classy outfit, and we can see the Yellow Submarine securing all three points to continue their excellent start to the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
36.68% (0.058 0.06) 27.15% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 36.17% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.02% (-0.115 -0.12)54.98% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.75% (-0.096 -0.1)76.25% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)28.83% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)64.69% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86% (-0.11 -0.11)29.14% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93% (-0.135 -0.13)65.07% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 36.67%
    Villarreal 36.16%
    Draw 27.15%
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.39% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.16%

How you voted: Valencia vs Villarreal

Valencia
17.2%
Draw
22.4%
Villarreal
60.3%
116
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 29
Villarreal
1-0
Valencia
Cuenca (54')
Femenia (12'), Coquelin (35'), Baena (41'), Cuenca (52'), Mandi (70')

Ozkacar (36')
Jan 2, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Valencia
3-1
Villarreal
Yaremchuk (4'), Pepelu (27' pen., 57' pen.)
Gaya (63'), Lopez (74')
Moreno (73')
Bailly (37'), Marcelino (38'), Parejo (49'), Capoue (56'), Terrats (80'), Cuenca (90+2')
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Lino (72')
Jackson (62')
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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