MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 10:54:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Aug 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Defensa y Justicia

Velez Sarsfield
3 - 0
Defensa

Fernandez (22'), Aquino (56', 59')
Gomez (12'), Caseres (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ramos Mingo (45+2'), Ferreira (57'), Molinas (72'), Lopez (79')
Soto (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-2 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, July 29 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-3 Platense
Monday, July 29 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Defensa y Justicia

 Velez Sarsfield will head into this one with the wind in their sails and unsurprisingly so given recent results. Defensa y Justicia, on the other hand, are in need of a pick-me-up, but we expect their misery to continue at the sound of the final whistle here, with the home side claiming a relatively routine triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawDefensa y Justicia
46.03% (0.301 0.3) 28.21% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 25.76% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 43.53% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.2% (0.17 0.17)61.79% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.41% (0.126 0.13)81.58% (-0.126 -0.13)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (0.23599999999999 0.24)26.91% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (0.308 0.31)62.24% (-0.308 -0.31)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.56% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)40.44% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.95% (-0.081 -0.08)77.05% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 46.02%
    Defensa y Justicia 25.76%
    Draw 28.2%
Velez SarsfieldDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 14.28%
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 46.02%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.88% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Defensa

Velez Sarsfield
94.1%
Draw
5.9%
Defensa y Justicia
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 12am
Gameweek 9
Defensa
0-0
Velez Sarsfield
Jun 25, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Defensa
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Fernandez (88')
Cardona (27'), Gutierrez (39'), Soto (67')
Garayalde (90')
Gomez (25'), Ortega (49'), Garayalde (90+5')
> Preview
Jul 28, 2021 8.30pm
Second Phase
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Defensa
Centurion (37'), Andres Romero (52'), Caseres (78')
Paredes (22'), Rotondi (39')
Mar 28, 2021 8.15pm
First Phase
Defensa
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Benitez (19')
Jeremias Fernandez (22'), Escalante (73'), Meza (82')
Jeremias Fernandez (43')
Tarragona (61')
Alvarez (22'), Mancuello (69'), Gianetti (75'), Tarragona (90+2')
Amor (56')
Sep 29, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Defensa

Gimenez (49')
Marquez (58')
Cesar Gonzalez Trinidad (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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