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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
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Villarreal
5 - 1
Granada

Sorloth (7', 19', 66'), Capoue (32'), Guedes (47')
Capoue (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Corbeanu (90+1')
Piatkowski (15'), Sanchez (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-3 Villarreal
Friday, February 23 at 8pm in La Liga

Granada

All competitions
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Almeria
Sunday, February 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Granada

 Granada are not losing matches at the moment, but their away form this season has been so disappointing, and Villarreal will enter this match full of confidence after an impressive win over Real Sociedad. It could be a tight match, but we are expecting the home side to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Granada had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawGranada
59.37% (-0.262 -0.26) 21.98% (0.136 0.14) 18.65% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.22 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (-0.406 -0.41)45.28% (0.405 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (-0.388 -0.39)67.62% (0.389 0.39)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.12% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)14.88% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.78% (-0.419 -0.42)43.22% (0.419 0.42)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.91% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)38.09% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.14% (-0.096 -0.1)74.86% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 59.36%
    Granada 18.65%
    Draw 21.98%
VillarrealDrawGranada
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.53% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 59.36%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.47% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.03% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 18.65%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Granada

Villarreal
86.0%
Draw
10.0%
Granada
4.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Granada
2-3
Villarreal
Sanchez (29'), Uzuni (34')
Moreno (18', 23'), Sorloth (28')
Baena (50'), Albiol (67'), Romero (73'), Parejo (90')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 25
Granada
1-4
Villarreal
Milla (61' pen.)
Sanchez (32'), Uzuni (34'), Torrente (80')
Danjuma (35' pen., 39', 81'), Gomez (90+6')
Lo Celso (33'), Estupinan (45+4'), Aurier (60'), Chukwueze (68'), Asenjo (75'), Iborra (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 1
Villarreal
0-0
Granada
Foyth (20'), Moreno (41'), Capoue (53'), Pena (85')
Foyth (82')
Sanchez (71')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 29
Granada
0-3
Villarreal

Soldado (38'), Quini (45+1')
Moreno (9' pen., 18', 60')
Parejo (22'), Gaspar (43')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Villarreal
2-2
Granada
Pena (29'), Gomez (65' pen.)
Trigueros (80'), Coquelin (90+5')
Soldado (21'), Kenedy (75')
Milla (15'), Herrera (35'), Machis (90'), Duarte (90+5')
Brice Eteki (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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