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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
26.66% ( 0.11) | 23.35% ( 0.06) | 49.99% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 58.81% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.77% ( -0.19) | 42.22% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.37% ( -0.19) | 64.63% ( 0.19) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.87% ( -0.01) | 29.12% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.95% ( -0.02) | 65.05% ( 0.02) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.98% ( -0.14) | 17.02% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.83% ( -0.24) | 47.16% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.36% Total : 26.66% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.04% Total : 49.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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