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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 64.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
64.32% ( 0.26) | 19.43% ( -0.03) | 16.25% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 56.54% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.17% ( -0.31) | 37.83% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.92% ( -0.33) | 60.08% ( 0.33) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.89% ( -0.02) | 11.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.47% ( -0.05) | 35.53% ( 0.05) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.6% ( -0.47) | 36.4% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.82% ( -0.48) | 73.18% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.4% Total : 64.32% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.43% | 1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.35% Total : 16.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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