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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
3 - 0
Stoke

Kayembe (47', 73'), Andrews (49')
Issouf Bayo (31'), Sierralta (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thompson (55'), Laurent (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 5-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Watford 2-1 Stoke City

Scoring on eight occasions during their first two matches of the season, Watford have hit the ground running under the permanent stewardship of Cleverley. Stoke have been rock solid on their return to competitive action, but we feel that the Potters will suffer their maiden loss of the season at Vicarage Road this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
30.17% (-0.087 -0.09) 26.15% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 43.69% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.07% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (-0.18 -0.18)52.2% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (-0.158 -0.16)73.91% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (-0.158 -0.16)31.71% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (-0.183 -0.18)68.13% (0.184 0.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)23.75% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)57.9% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Watford 30.17%
    Stoke City 43.68%
    Draw 26.14%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.17%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 10.82% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 43.68%

How you voted: Watford vs Stoke

Watford
73.5%
Draw
2.9%
Stoke City
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Watford
1-1
Stoke
Livermore (15')
Ismael (15'), Kone (42'), Livermore (45+4'), Chakvetadze (72'), Morris (80')
Issouf Bayo (52')
Mmaee (34')
Tchamadeu (14')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Stoke
1-0
Watford
Vidigal (53')
McNally (29'), Wesley (52'), Thompson (77'), Johnson (83')

Kone (60')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Stoke
Louza (70'), Davis (74')
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
0-4
Watford
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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