Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford3 - 0Stoke
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Watford 5-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Stoke
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
We said: Watford 2-1 Stoke City
Scoring on eight occasions during their first two matches of the season, Watford have hit the ground running under the permanent stewardship of Cleverley. Stoke have been rock solid on their return to competitive action, but we feel that the Potters will suffer their maiden loss of the season at Vicarage Road this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Stoke City |
30.17% ( -0.09) | 26.15% ( 0.03) | 43.69% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.07% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.8% ( -0.18) | 52.2% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.09% ( -0.16) | 73.91% ( 0.16) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.29% ( -0.16) | 31.71% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.86% ( -0.18) | 68.13% ( 0.18) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( -0.05) | 23.75% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.1% ( -0.08) | 57.9% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Watford 30.17%
Stoke City 43.68%
Draw 26.14%
| Watford | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.17% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 43.68% |
How you voted: Watford vs Stoke
Watford
73.5%Draw
2.9%Stoke City
23.5%34
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Watford
1-1
Stoke
Livermore (15')
Ismael (15'), Kone (42'), Livermore (45+4'), Chakvetadze (72'), Morris (80')
Issouf Bayo (52')
Ismael (15'), Kone (42'), Livermore (45+4'), Chakvetadze (72'), Morris (80')
Issouf Bayo (52')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
