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Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Feb 11, 2024 at 6am UK
Spotless Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Western Sydney
3 - 3
Newcastle Jets

Brook (28', 31'), Marcelo (90+2')
Russell (36'), Cleur (76')
Russell (48'), Hendrix (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Buhagiar (5'), Stamatelopoulos (50' pen., 70')
Grozos (56'), Grimaldi (66')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Macarthur 4-3 Western Sydney
Sunday, February 4 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Victory
Saturday, February 3 at 7am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.26%) and 3-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawNewcastle Jets
57.86% (0.537 0.54) 20.15% (-0.169 -0.17) 21.99% (-0.365 -0.37)
Both teams to score 64.88% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.15% (0.357 0.36)31.85% (-0.354 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.61% (0.416 0.42)53.39% (-0.413 -0.41)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (0.255 0.25)11.01% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.71% (0.556 0.56)35.29% (-0.552 -0.55)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)27.1% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (-0.123 -0.12)62.48% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 57.86%
    Newcastle Jets 21.99%
    Draw 20.15%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.58% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.34% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.55% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.85% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.95% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.049 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.042 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.11% (0.03 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.09% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 57.86%
1-1 @ 8.59% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.15%
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-1 @ 3.89% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 21.99%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 4am
Jan 22, 2023 4am
Oct 28, 2022 9.45am
Apr 20, 2022 10.05am
Gameweek 22
Western Sydney
3-2
Newcastle Jets
Ugarkovic (6'), Rodwell (18'), Najjarine (21')
Russell (45'), Ugarkovic (47'), Rodwell (51')
Hoffman (67'), Silvera (75')
Wilson (11'), Mikeltadze (35'), Hoffman (44'), Thurgate (85')
Feb 23, 2022 8.55am
Gameweek 6
Newcastle Jets
1-0
Western Sydney
Thurgate (61')
Boumal (70'), Jurman (78'), Silvera (85')

Ugarkovic (12'), Baccus (24'), Traore (39'), Cancar (88')
rhs 2.0
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