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Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 25, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Bayern logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Bayern

Majer (47' pen., 55')
Svanberg (71'), Zesiger (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Musiala (20'), Kaminski (65' og.), Gnabry (82')
Kane (31'), Boey (46'), Musiala (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Koblenz 0-1 Wolfsburg
Monday, August 19 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 4-0 Grasshopper
Tuesday, August 20 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Wolfsburg 0-5 Bayern Munich

 Although it is too early to make any conclusions about Kompany as manager, it would not be surprising if his side comfortably won on Sunday given how much additions such as Palhinha and Olise add to the side. Additionally, if Wolfsburg perform similarly to last season, then they could struggle on the weekend and throughout 2024-25. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-3 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
18.75% (-1.495 -1.5) 19.17% (-0.509 -0.51) 62.07% (2.005 2.01)
Both teams to score 62.98% (-0.834 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.07% (0.104 0.1)31.93% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.52% (0.123 0.12)53.48% (-0.122 -0.12)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (-1.344 -1.34)30.04% (1.344 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (-1.645 -1.65)66.17% (1.645 1.65)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03% (0.527 0.53)9.97% (-0.527 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.04% (1.198 1.2)32.96% (-1.198 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 18.75%
    Bayern Munich 62.07%
    Draw 19.17%
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.297 -0.3)
1-0 @ 3.6% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-0 @ 2.17% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2% (-0.199 -0.2)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 18.75%
1-1 @ 8.3% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.17%
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.308 0.31)
1-3 @ 7.36% (0.179 0.18)
0-1 @ 6.91% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 6.12% (0.368 0.37)
2-3 @ 4.42% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-4 @ 4.24% (0.195 0.19)
0-4 @ 3.53% (0.286 0.29)
2-4 @ 2.55% (0.025 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.96% (0.132 0.13)
0-5 @ 1.63% (0.165 0.17)
2-5 @ 1.18% (0.037 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 62.07%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Bayern

Wolfsburg
11.5%
Draw
10.2%
Bayern Munich
78.3%
157
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Zvonarek (4'), Goretzka (13')

Majer (53'), Lacroix (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
1-2
Bayern
Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


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