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Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 25, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Bayern logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Bayern

Majer (47' pen., 55')
Svanberg (71'), Zesiger (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Musiala (20'), Kaminski (65' og.), Gnabry (82')
Kane (31'), Boey (46'), Musiala (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Koblenz 0-1 Wolfsburg
Monday, August 19 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 4-0 Grasshopper
Tuesday, August 20 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Wolfsburg 0-5 Bayern Munich

 Although it is too early to make any conclusions about Kompany as manager, it would not be surprising if his side comfortably won on Sunday given how much additions such as Palhinha and Olise add to the side. Additionally, if Wolfsburg perform similarly to last season, then they could struggle on the weekend and throughout 2024-25. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-3 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
18.75% (-1.495 -1.5) 19.17% (-0.509 -0.51) 62.07% (2.005 2.01)
Both teams to score 62.98% (-0.834 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.07% (0.104 0.1)31.93% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.52% (0.123 0.12)53.48% (-0.122 -0.12)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (-1.344 -1.34)30.04% (1.344 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (-1.645 -1.65)66.17% (1.645 1.65)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03% (0.527 0.53)9.97% (-0.527 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.04% (1.198 1.2)32.96% (-1.198 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 18.75%
    Bayern Munich 62.07%
    Draw 19.17%
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.297 -0.3)
1-0 @ 3.6% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-0 @ 2.17% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2% (-0.199 -0.2)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 18.75%
1-1 @ 8.3% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.17%
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.308 0.31)
1-3 @ 7.36% (0.179 0.18)
0-1 @ 6.91% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 6.12% (0.368 0.37)
2-3 @ 4.42% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-4 @ 4.24% (0.195 0.19)
0-4 @ 3.53% (0.286 0.29)
2-4 @ 2.55% (0.025 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.96% (0.132 0.13)
0-5 @ 1.63% (0.165 0.17)
2-5 @ 1.18% (0.037 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 62.07%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Bayern

Wolfsburg
11.5%
Draw
10.2%
Bayern Munich
78.3%
157
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Zvonarek (4'), Goretzka (13')

Majer (53'), Lacroix (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
1-2
Bayern
Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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