Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.