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League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Charlton Athletic

Exeter
1 - 0
Charlton

Crama (59')
Woods (22'), Aitchison (73'), Niskanen (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gillesphey (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 5-3 Barnet
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Southend 3-4 Charlton
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Exeter City 2-2 Charlton Athletic

 Exeter will fancy their chances of breaching Charlton's backline this weekend as they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 11 home league matches - the Grecians have not enjoyed a longer run since October 2019 (13). Charlton, meanwhile, have found the net in 11 of their last 14 away league games and although they are missing a few players due to injury, we can see Jones's side claiming at least a share of the spoils in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
43.91% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 25.26% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 30.82% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.24% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (0.131 0.13)48.22% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (0.119 0.12)70.38% (-0.123 -0.12)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (0.019000000000005 0.02)21.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.78% (0.030999999999999 0.03)55.22% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (0.13 0.13)29.23% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (0.159 0.16)65.19% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 43.91%
    Charlton Athletic 30.82%
    Draw 25.26%
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.91%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.82%

How you voted: Exeter vs Charlton

Exeter City
27.3%
Draw
33.3%
Charlton Athletic
39.4%
33
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Exeter
1-1
Charlton
Purrington (6')
Woods (78')
Diabate (87' og.)
Thomas (37')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Charlton
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (45'), May (65', 86'), Leaburn (79')
Tedic (45+3')
Scott (23')
Aimson (66')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Mitchell (31')
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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