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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Charlton Athletic

Exeter
1 - 0
Charlton

Crama (59')
Woods (22'), Aitchison (73'), Niskanen (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gillesphey (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 5-3 Barnet
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Exeter City 2-2 Charlton Athletic

Exeter will fancy their chances of breaching Charlton's backline this weekend as they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 11 home league matches - the Grecians have not enjoyed a longer run since October 2019 (13). Charlton, meanwhile, have found the net in 11 of their last 14 away league games and although they are missing a few players due to injury, we can see Jones's side claiming at least a share of the spoils in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
43.91% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 25.26% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 30.82% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.24% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (0.131 0.13)48.22% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (0.119 0.12)70.38% (-0.123 -0.12)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (0.019000000000005 0.02)21.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.78% (0.030999999999999 0.03)55.22% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (0.13 0.13)29.23% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (0.159 0.16)65.19% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 43.91%
    Charlton Athletic 30.82%
    Draw 25.26%
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.91%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.82%

How you voted: Exeter vs Charlton

Exeter City
27.3%
Draw
33.3%
Charlton Athletic
39.4%
33
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Exeter
1-1
Charlton
Purrington (6')
Woods (78')
Diabate (87' og.)
Thomas (37')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Charlton
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (45'), May (65', 86'), Leaburn (79')
Tedic (45+3')
Scott (23')
Aimson (66')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Mitchell (31')
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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