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League One | Gameweek 11
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Lincoln City

Wrexham
1 - 0
Lincoln

Darikwa (67' og.)
Brunt (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wrexham and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-3 Wycombe
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Lincoln City

Both teams have made strong starts to the season as they battle for promotion, but with Wrexham unbeaten in their first eight home matches and the visitors without a win in their last three league fixtures, we believe the hosts will emerge victorious here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawLincoln City
40.88% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 28.1%31.02% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.71% (0.012 0.01)59.28% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.31% (0.010000000000002 0.01)79.69% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)28.47% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.76% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)64.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (0.031999999999996 0.03)34.79% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.47% (0.032 0.03)71.52% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 40.88%
    Lincoln City 31.01%
    Draw 28.09%
WrexhamDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 12.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 40.88%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.91% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.01%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Lincoln

Wrexham
Draw
Lincoln City
Wrexham
63.5%
Draw
15.4%
Lincoln City
21.2%
52
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2016 7.45pm
Lincoln
1-0
Wrexham
Hawkridge (15')
Raggett (29')

Edwards (10'), Coddington (15'), Bencherif (15'), McDonagh (57'), Tilt (90')
Oct 4, 2016 7.45pm
Wrexham
1-2
Lincoln
Bencherif (82')
Newton (22'), Harvey (55'), Harrad (59'), Tilt (90')
Waterfall (31'), Anderson (45')
Power (87')
Jan 23, 2016 3pm
Wrexham
3-1
Lincoln
York (36'), Jennings (48'), Heslop (86')
Rhead (14' pen.)
Waterfall (53'), Power (57'), Stanley (67')
Sep 5, 2015 3pm
Mar 21, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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