Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Metz |
50.67% ( -2.35) | 25.68% ( 0.96) | 23.65% ( 1.38) |
Both teams to score 48.47% ( -1.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.56% ( -2.41) | 54.44% ( 2.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.19% ( -2.04) | 75.8% ( 2.04) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% ( -1.93) | 21.52% ( 1.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.42% ( -3.06) | 54.58% ( 3.06) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.77% ( -0.03) | 38.23% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.01% ( -0.03) | 74.99% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.28) Other @ 3.19% Total : 50.66% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.75) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.71) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |