Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens0 - 1Metz
We said: Lens 1-0 Metz
It is no secret that Lens have endured a below-par start to 2023-24, but Saturday's clash provides last season's runners-up with the ideal opportunity to pick up their first win of the campaign. Given that Metz have avoided defeat in each of their last three games, we expect the visitors to give the hosts a run for their money, but Haise's men should finally get off the mark this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Metz |
50.67% ( -2.35) | 25.68% ( 0.96) | 23.65% ( 1.38) |
| Both teams to score 48.47% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.56% ( -2.41) | 54.44% ( 2.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.19% ( -2.04) | 75.8% ( 2.04) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( -1.93) | 21.52% ( 1.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.42% ( -3.06) | 54.58% ( 3.06) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.77% ( -0.03) | 38.23% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.01% ( -0.03) | 74.99% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 50.66%
Metz 23.65%
Draw 25.67%
| Lens | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.28)Other @ 3.19% Total : 50.66% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.75)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.71) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.65% |
How you voted: Lens vs Metz
Lens
91.3%Draw
4.3%Metz
4.3%23
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Metz
0-0
Lens
Oct 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 11
Lens
4-1
Metz
Dec 19, 2020 4pm
Form Guide
