Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Angers had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.