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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lille

Marseille
0 - 0
Lille


Harit (42'), Gigot (53')
FT

Andre (27'), Bentaleb (70'), Yazici (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews the Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 AEK Athens
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Monaco
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Lille

 Since being stunned by Annecy in the Coupe de France at the start of March, Marseille have lost just one of their 13 home matches since, and they will expect to keep that run going here. Lille are a team in form though, especially domestically, and after seeing off Monaco last week, they will have the confidence to pick up a result at the Velodrome, despite it typically being an unhappy hunting ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Lille had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLille
45.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.03% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.63% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 59.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.18% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)42.82% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)65.22% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)19.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)50.69% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)61.92%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 45.34%
    Lille 30.63%
    Draw 24.03%
MarseilleDrawLille
2-1 @ 9.23%
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 45.34%
1-1 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 30.63%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lille

Marseille
40.4%
Draw
31.9%
Lille
27.7%
47
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Lille
2-1
Marseille
David (50' pen.), Bamba (72')
Andre (57'), Bamba (73'), Bayo (85')
Clauss (29')
Balerdi (37'), Rongier (55')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Marseille
2-1
Lille
Sanchez (26'), Gigot (61')
Ismaily (12')
> Preview
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Under (75')
Guendouzi (4')
Botman (15')
Andre (30'), Grbic (55'), Celik (55'), Lihadji (86')
Andre (32')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 9
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (28', 90+4')
Mandava (11'), Yilmaz (66')

Under (24'), Balerdi (37')
Under (77')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 28
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (90', 90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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