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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lille

Marseille
0 - 0
Lille


Harit (42'), Gigot (53')
FT

Andre (27'), Bentaleb (70'), Yazici (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews the Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 AEK Athens
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Monaco
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Lille

 Since being stunned by Annecy in the Coupe de France at the start of March, Marseille have lost just one of their 13 home matches since, and they will expect to keep that run going here. Lille are a team in form though, especially domestically, and after seeing off Monaco last week, they will have the confidence to pick up a result at the Velodrome, despite it typically being an unhappy hunting ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Lille had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLille
45.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.03% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.63% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 59.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.18% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)42.82% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)65.22% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)19.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)50.69% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)61.92%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 45.34%
    Lille 30.63%
    Draw 24.03%
MarseilleDrawLille
2-1 @ 9.23%
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 45.34%
1-1 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 30.63%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lille

Marseille
40.4%
Draw
31.9%
Lille
27.7%
47
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Lille
2-1
Marseille
David (50' pen.), Bamba (72')
Andre (57'), Bamba (73'), Bayo (85')
Clauss (29')
Balerdi (37'), Rongier (55')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Marseille
2-1
Lille
Sanchez (26'), Gigot (61')
Ismaily (12')
> Preview
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Under (75')
Guendouzi (4')
Botman (15')
Andre (30'), Grbic (55'), Celik (55'), Lihadji (86')
Andre (32')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 9
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (28', 90+4')
Mandava (11'), Yilmaz (66')

Under (24'), Balerdi (37')
Under (77')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 28
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (90', 90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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