MX23RW : Friday, November 22 05:58:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
2 - 1
Valenciennes

Brahimi (9'), Mendy (77')
Mendy (45+2'), Vandermersch (63'), Hafid (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bonnet (30')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Valenciennes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rodez AF 3-2 Caen
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 2-2 Bastia
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawValenciennes
57.02% (0.931 0.93) 25.77% (-0.246 -0.25) 17.2% (-0.686 -0.69)
Both teams to score 39.69% (-0.506 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.68% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)61.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)81.23% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (0.373 0.37)21.68% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.17% (0.567 0.57)54.82% (-0.569 -0.57)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.68% (-0.892 -0.89)49.31% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.82% (-0.638 -0.64)84.17% (0.636 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Caen 57.02%
    Valenciennes 17.2%
    Draw 25.76%
CaenDrawValenciennes
1-0 @ 16.34% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 12.49% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.37% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 57.02%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 10.69% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-2 @ 4.09% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 17.2%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Cuffaut (39' pen.)
Mendy (23')
Ntim (7')
Mar 15, 2022 6pm
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Ntim (24')
Cuffaut (42'), Kaba (43'), Yatabare (59'), Masson (89')
Da Costa (13')
Abdi (59'), Cisse (88')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
Caen
1-2
Valenciennes
Chahiri (90+2')
Goncalves (73')
Abdi (16' og.), Robail (29')
Debuchy (31'), Robail (81')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Caen
1-1
Valenciennes
Bammou (52' pen.)
Deminguet (31'), Mendy (86')
Guel (5')
Pellenard (34'), Spano (51'), Ntim (65')
Sep 26, 2020 6pm
Valenciennes
1-0
Caen
Ntim (10')
D'Almeida (32'), Masson (43'), Spano Rahou (44'), Prior (88')

Deminguet (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris FCParis FC1383222111127
2Lorient1382326151126
3DunkerqueDunkerque138142218425
4Metz137332112924
5Annecy136432118322
6AmiensAmiens136251715220
7GuingampGuingamp136162119219
8Grenoble135261715217
9Laval134451816216
10Bastia123721313016
11PauPau134451317-416
12Rodez AFRodez AF134362422215
13Clermont134361215-315
14Caen134271417-314
15Ajaccio124261013-314
16Troyes134271117-614
17Red Star134271223-1114
18Martigues13238826-189


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