MX23RW : Friday, November 15 06:49:25| >> :600:14510769:14510769:
CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 21, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Ayma
Philadelphia Union

Deportivo Saprissa
2 - 3
Philadelphia

Glesnes (28' og.), Taylor (90')
Sinclair (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carranza (55', 75', 79')
Carranza (37'), Andres Martinez (37'), Lowe (67'), Wagner (87')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Deportivo Saprissa and Philadelphia Union.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Saprissa

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, November 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Saprissa win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Saprissa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo SaprissaDrawPhiladelphia Union
44.87% (0.185 0.19) 25.51% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 29.62% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.78% (0.108 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.16% (0.175 0.17)49.84% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.16% (0.155 0.16)71.84% (-0.158 -0.16)
Deportivo Saprissa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (0.16 0.16)22.18% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.41% (0.241 0.24)55.58% (-0.243 -0.24)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)30.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.18% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Saprissa 44.86%
    Philadelphia Union 29.62%
    Draw 25.51%
Deportivo SaprissaDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.77% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 44.86%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 29.62%

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