Major League Soccer
May 29, 2023 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
We said: Nashville SC 1-0 Columbus Crew
The Boys in Gold are so organised and well-balanced defensively that even without an international centre-back like Zimmerman, they look equally sharp and resolute.
Columbus have their share of quality and creativity, but given the form of Mukhtar and how intelligent Nashville are along the back end, we expect them to hold the Crew in check this weekend.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 52.87% . A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 23.19% .
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.27%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%) , while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (6.64%) . The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
Result Nashville SC Draw Columbus Crew 52.87% ( 0.18) 23.93% ( -0.02) 23.19% ( -0.17)
Both teams to score 53.21% ( -0.13)
52.07% ( -0.07) 47.93% ( 0.07)
29.89% ( -0.07) 70.11% ( 0.07)
81.92% ( 0.04) 18.08% ( -0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51% ( 0.07) 49% ( -0.07)
64.95% ( -0.19) 35.05% ( 0.19)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 28.21% ( -0.2) 71.79% ( 0.2)
Nashville SC 52.86%
Columbus Crew 23.19%
Draw 23.93%
Nashville SC Draw Columbus Crew 1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 52.86% 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.93% 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 23.19%
How you voted: Nashville vs Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
Draw
Columbus Crew
10
rhs 2.0
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