Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena
NY City3 - 2Cincinnati
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-5 NY City
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
48
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
53
We said: New York City FC 3-1 FC Cincinnati
Injuries and inconsistencies have taken a toll on Cincinnati, and we expect to see NYCFC to take advantage of their vulnerabilities and make another statement before the playoffs begin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
46.76% ( -0.02) | 22.82% ( 0.01) | 30.42% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.61% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
