Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.