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Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Mar 11, 2023 at 10pm UK
BC Place Stadium
FC Dallas

Vancouver
1 - 1
Dallas

Arriola (34' og.)
Cubas (42'), Schopf (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ibeagha (5')
Burgess (69'), Obrian (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, March 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 3-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Dallas

Although the Caps are pointless this season, they have played a lot sharper than their record suggests, and they showed a killer instinct in their midweek encounter, something which should give them a ton of confidence heading into this match. Dallas reacted well last week, but they have put themselves in bad positions often in the early portion of the campaign, and we expect to see a Caps unit hungry to win their first of the MLS season this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch Vancouver Whitecaps vs. Dallas and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawDallas
50.39% (-0.14 -0.14) 25.34% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 24.26% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.08% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (0.022999999999996 0.02)52.65% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7% (0.02 0.02)74.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)20.91% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.37% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)53.63% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (0.121 0.12)36.68% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.53% (0.119 0.12)73.47% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 50.39%
    Dallas 24.26%
    Draw 25.33%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawDallas
1-0 @ 12% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 50.39%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 24.26%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Dallas

Vancouver Whitecaps
27.3%
Draw
45.5%
Dallas
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2022 2am
Dallas
0-2
Vancouver

Quignon (42'), Farfan (45+2'), Velasco (54')
Cavallini (2'), Caicedo (44')
Cropper (90+5')
May 19, 2022 3am
Vancouver
2-1
Dallas
White (71'), Cavallini (90+2' pen.)
Baldisimo (40'), Brown (45'), Cavallini (90+7')
Arriola (45+3')
Pomykal (52'), Twumasi (90+7')
Sep 26, 2021 3am
Vancouver
1-0
Dallas
White (20')
Gaspar (53'), Cavallini (58')

Hedges (71'), Twumasi (82'), Acosta (90+1')
Jul 5, 2021 1.30am
Dallas
2-2
Vancouver
Pepi (22'), Veselinovic (90+4' og.)
Obrian (18'), Acosta (67')
Cavallini (30'), Rose (45+2')
Cavallini (45+3'), Alexandre (72'), Metcalfe (90+1'), Nerwinski (90+5')
Sep 27, 2020 2am
rhs 2.0
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