Chester

3 - 1

Oxford City

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.