Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
