Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
