Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.