Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Aldershot Town |
42.75% ( -0.16) | 25.92% ( 0.01) | 31.33% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.17% ( 0.01) | 50.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.28% ( 0.01) | 72.71% ( -0.01) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% ( -0.07) | 23.62% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.3% ( -0.11) | 57.7% ( 0.11) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.8% ( 0.11) | 30.2% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.64% ( 0.13) | 66.36% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Aldershot Town |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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