Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.